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Scientists recommend higher cod quota for Barents Sea in 2027

Scientists are recommending a higher cod quota for 2027, pointing to a firmer Barents Sea supply. What could that mean for the market? Marine scientists have recommended that Northeast Arctic cod...

June 28, 2026

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Scientists are recommending a higher cod quota for 2027, pointing to a firmer Barents Sea supply. What could that mean for the market?

Marine scientists have recommended that Northeast Arctic cod catches should not exceed 312,667 metric tons in 2027. That is 16% above the quota advice for 2026 and 10% above the quota actually set for 2026, according to the Norwegian Institute of Marine Research.

The advice also covers haddock and Greenland halibut, which the scientists said should get higher quotas next year as well. The increase follows several years of record-low catch advice.

The change reflects a stock that is improving, but only slowly. Stock assessment scientist Bjarte Bogstad said the 2021 year class is now entering the exploitable stock and is stronger than the year classes before it.

That matters because cod remains the key species in the Barents Sea mixed fishery. A higher 2027 recommendation does not erase the tighter limits of recent years, but it does show the stock assessment is moving away from the deepest cuts.

The recommendation also comes as Russia and Norway continue to manage shared North Atlantic fisheries under separate quota-setting processes. Russia finalized its 2026 North Atlantic fishing quotas on June 25, including 67,548 tons of Atlantic mackerel quota in NEAFC-regulated waters.

SeafoodSource also reported on May 21 that Russia suggested an increase in the Barents Sea cod quota, countering earlier calls for cuts. That lines up with the latest scientific advice, which points to a modest recovery rather than a sharp rebound.

Processors and exporters in Norway and northwest Russia face a slightly easier supply picture for 2027 if ministers follow the science. That would support plant utilization and reduce pressure on raw material sourcing, but it would not return the fishery to earlier high-catch levels.

Haddock and Greenland halibut suppliers also stand to gain from higher advice. Buyers in Europe and Asia will watch whether the final quotas track the scientific recommendation or stay closer to the 2026 set levels.

Track the Norway-Russia quota talks for 2027 and whether ministers accept the 312,667-ton cod recommendation. Watch for any separate decisions on haddock and Greenland halibut before year-end.

What final 2027 quotas do Norway and Russia set for Barents Sea cod?

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